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Joshua's Journal

joshua
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12/29/2008 15:53 #47212

Dangerous American Cities
Today I was thinking about some of the cities where I felt were the most dangerous I've visited... a perception vs. reality study, if you will. Count Buffalo in the mix, by the way. This data comes off of Wiki's crime stats page - it should be noted that the crime stats are voluntarily reported, which is to say that they are likely higher than what is reported.

Based on federal data from calendar year 2007, per 100,000 residents:

Buffalo, NY - Population 273,832 (66th among large US cities)

Violent Crime - 15th (comparable to DC - Chicago didn't report data on violent crime!)
Property Crime - 20th (comparable city of disrepute - Oakland, CA)
Murder/Negligent Manslaughter - 10th (higher than Miami, Chicago, Memphis)
Forcible Rape - 17th
Robbery - 15th (in between Dallas and Chicago)
20th - Aggravated Assault (higher than Chicago, DC)
14th - Burglary
11th - Larceny-theft
32nd - Motor Vehicle Theft (more profitable in better weather)
26th - Arson

Buffalo outranked Boston, Newark, NYC, Chicago, Houston and Los Angeles in every crime category except for the following: Boston (aggravated assault, 13th), Newark (murder and auto theft, both 4th), Houston (auto theft 24th, arson 21st).

That's right - Newark, NJ - regularly considered the armpit of the east and one of the most latently dangerous cities in America, is reported to have 30% less violent crime, 60% less rapes, 25% less robberies, 30% less aggravated assaults, 30% less property crime, almost 3x less burglaries and half the larceny than what we have in Buffalo. Don't worry though - you are "only" twice as likely to get murdered in Newark, and are twice as likely to have your ride "borrowed" for a while. So, in my final estimation, either Buffalo is significantly more dangerous than Newark, NJ and the biggest cities in America (per 100,000) or the stats volunteered by the cities are downplayed to a criminal degree.

Don't forget - as a policy our city doesn't inform its citizens on a regular basis when crimes occur in your area unless they feel like it. And by your area I mean down the block. Cheers! *clink* (and no, the clink might not have been your window being cut by a glass cutter)

Remember all this the next time the city spends your tax dollars on stuff like $50,000 cameras, which have yielded no tangible improvement on your safety, but make you "feel better" depending on the neighborhood you are in. And I'll be the last guy to complain about pay for cops, but in the past year we've had a cop "allegedly" try to defraud our car insurer, and looking at the crime statistics you are DAMN RIGHT that they should be held to scrutiny. If you want to cry about what you're being paid, then you are god damn right that I want to see what it is that you're doing to justify those tears.

Here is the question - based on the crime stats (and stats aren't everything until its you that gets hurt) is the tax money you are shelling out for often grandiose police salaries and benefits worth what it is that you are getting back in terms of public safety? The answer is no. In the end is all proportional but when New York and LA's proportional crime rate is lower than yours in Buffalo, something is wrong and it isn't the way the stats are being tabulated.
hodown - 12/30/08 11:52
I would have never thought that. People in my neighborhood refer to Newark as "the war zone" and a general rule of thumb is don't go there unless necessary.
drew - 12/30/08 00:20
I believe police should be well paid. I don't know what Buffalo cops make though, to I can't comment on it.

That being said, I think that our tax dollars are better spent preventing crime in ways other than police/cameras--things like smart planning (thanks (e:james)).

I've read the stats. I've heard the stories, but I still feel safe. I guess I'm naive.
heidi - 12/29/08 23:08
I checked it out a little - there's no one easy-to-access, up-to-date source for that data.

Here's some 2000 data that allows you to search by state & agency with >100 sworn officers:
:::link:::

Buffalo has 32 sworn officers per 10,000
Rochester ditto
Syracuse 33
Newark, NJ 54
DC 63



Here's an old report on the # of cops per 10,000 in the 25 largest cities:
:::link::: (1996 data)

james - 12/29/08 21:48
Crime is indelibly linked to poverty. Shitty ass city planning has left half the city a sprawling slum and is where, I am willing to bet, the lion's share of crimes are committed. But, UB is in Amherst, we can't get a fucking box store to move in downtown after ten years of negotiations, and highways segregate the safe white neighborhoods from the bad black neighborhoods.

We shit on our dinner plate and they cringe when we have to eat it.
joshua - 12/29/08 18:34
lol @ Ajay... too true. I haven't been to the MojaveExperiment site yet, although by my own admission I don't know if/when I'd ever switch personally. I'm most inclined to get a Mac next, but even then I know I'd want Windoze/Mac OS dual boot. I think I've been conditioned, possibly.

(e:heidi) - I wish I knew that. It would be most relevant.
ajay - 12/29/08 17:30
I call shenanigans!
Redmond, WA is listed near the bottom; that can't be right! It's the headquarters of the world's biggest criminal empire.

Plus, every time you buy a Windows box, you get raped.
heidi - 12/29/08 16:28
Just curious - are there stats about # of police officers per 100,000 residents?

12/28/2008 02:13 #47203

Christmas Update
(e:peeps) -

Here I am, sitting at my father's computer, doing various things I shouldn't while relaying to you my innermost insecurities and most vulgar carnal desires. Well, okay... maybe I'm not relaying to you any insecurities or vulgar thoughts, but I am sitting here at my father's computer writing a paragraph to you that is short on meaning and long on bullshit. So here goes -

We came home for Christmas Eve and had a lovely time, then came back to Buffalo (shopping and cleaning) while (e:jasontheunfuck)inglucky worked for "el hombre." After all that, we came back home to honor a promise to our family to hang out for a bit. Today was mainly errand running for me - I went to the Lakewood Weg three different times, then took (e:grandma) (she has her own screenname now, apparently) to the salon.

Today we once again visited the Southern Tier pub with (e:dad), got some stuff, drank, then went to get some fried food at the Puzzle Lounge. Their wings and fingers are as good as I've had anywhere and I probably shouldn't have been so obviously savoring it while pretty girls were in the house.

On Friday I went to the mall. Whoa... I hate that place. I really dislike shopping there... every time I found something I would wear I thought "Oh wow, isn't that nice, now I can officially look like every other dude in Buffalo." I'm happier at the Army/Navy surplus, I swear. I found a light jacket to wear that would be cool with collared shirt and jeans then thought, "once again, now I can look like every other dude in Buffalo, but only when they try to dress up and hang out on my street." What I really wanted was an indigo colored, long sleeve shirt with epaulets and some pockets and instead I got an dark blue colored designer shirt made of material that felt vaguely like a parachute or a tent. I am easily bored with clothes and dislike shopping because I never am happy with the outcome. The only thing I can pull off spectacularly is a suit and generally I am emblematic of a boho/military/slacker motif centered around jeans, birks (weather appropriate), long sleeve shirts, earth tones, cargo shorts and sunglasses to hide my prying eyes that do pry.

I wonder if Michael Jackson just dresses up weirdly because he's bored like I am.

My dad's friend has a cool little chihuahua named Spooky, who was ironically spooked out at (e:jay) and I. Poor thing was shaking like a leaf and tried to bite me, so I gave him a Beggin' Strip (dad, well prepared) and he was my homie4lyfe thereafter. I stared in his eyes and I think he raised his eyebrow at me, like "fancy a go? Want to square a go mate?"
fellyconnelly - 12/29/08 06:35
chihuahuas can be super mean! but then they say that about dachshunds too...
hodown - 12/28/08 12:24
Wait you forgot about the puffy vest. You pull that off better than anyone I know. And I'm being serious.

And I'm done commenting re: the vest forever (probably).

12/24/2008 12:54 #47171

Xmas Eve at Work
What I'm doing at work today -

image

Is it better to be a star on a losing team or a backup on a winning team? I like to think that I'm a star whether or not I win or lose - after all, that is what the public school system taught me!

Merry Christmas everybody -

Your friend Josh
ladycroft - 12/25/08 10:13
Happy Christmas Josh!
hodown - 12/25/08 08:45
A man after my own heart, drinking at work. And Tiny- let's not get crazy we'll be seeing enough of the puffy vest on New Year's..
metalpeter - 12/24/08 20:36
Some of those (only read a few) Molson questions are awesome. On a side note it doesn't feel like Christmas Eve.
janelle - 12/24/08 18:13
Merry Christmas to you!
mrmike - 12/24/08 14:52
Nice office motif
tinypliny - 12/24/08 13:24
We demand a view of the puffy vest.

12/19/2008 10:21 #47108

Vision
How sad and lonely our city looks today. Looking out of my front window down Cleveland the trees seem like soldiers standing in formation in the middle of a snow field. The snow is blowing sideways, acting like a veil. The sky is the same faint color of the road, a familiar sight to anybody who has lived in the north.

At Spot there are two men sitting outside on the patio, drinking coffee with coats bundled to the chin. What crazy and hardy people live here... go inside, you fools! How long does coffee stay warm, let alone hot, when it is in a paper cup and the temperature is 20F?

The usual suspects (SUVs, "suburban utility vehicles") are parking illegally in order to avoid the severe aches and pains of walking an extra 20 feet in the middle of a snow storm - not that they have ever needed an excuse.

I can only hear the sound of a shovel scraping against the cement sidewalk in front of Wasabi, the hum of a CPU fan, the slight ringing in my ears, cars slushing by here and there with engines growling spinning their wheels across the white road, Jean talking to someone only she can see, the occasional honking horn. The city is quiet and inactive today.
jenks - 12/19/08 20:25
is she the one with the long gray hair who always wears white tights and sneakers?

and speaking of white, the lady in white was eating in the cafeteria at BGH the other day... I was so tempted to sit and try to talk to her.
jason - 12/19/08 16:10
Hahaha, the "ship" Josh. That gets me every time.
james - 12/19/08 14:49
I like to imagine that Jean is in a Neil Gaiman sort of universe. Sure, she looks just like a crazy bag lady, but she is really one Graeae. The nonsense she yells is actually the incantation to a powerful spell. Swinging in those bags is not poo, but great mojo. Don't mess with her, or she will steel your eyes and teeth for her own.
metalpeter - 12/19/08 14:47
Well thanks to my nice boss I got to have today off, so when I woke up I got to go to my mothers place and shovel it, then wound up going to put money in the bank (Sabres game tonight and maybe a bit of Christmas Shopping I need that money in there), it wasn't to bad on Elmwood people where shoveling or snow blowing and plows where out and I wasn't the only one out, I can't compare it to a normal day but I did see people going into what ever that place to eat next to Hodge Liqour is .
jbeatty - 12/19/08 13:50
I didn't know her name till now. I first encountered her at blockbuster where I thought she was yelling at me as I walked down the aisle. But it turns out she was just yelling. She is like a street performer in a sense because she always manages to put a smile on peoples faces.
joshua - 12/19/08 13:49
(e:drew) is right, she is harmless. My former neighbor Pete (heart of gold, gem of a guy) used to give her sweaters and would talk to her.

I don't know what's in her "ship" - I have to say, I've never stopped to think about it!

(e:ajay) - you've made me realize that all this time I should have been keeping a journal of the sounds of morning in all the places in America I've been to for my job. In your city I experienced morning in the Haight and The Wharf/North Beach/downtown. Morning in the Haight was awesome on the weekend - that place has a layer of fog over it even if there is no precipitation in the air. I think on weekends people there are more lethargic than Southerners at any time of the week. It seemed far more quiet than any morning I've had in Buffalo. The other side of the city was quite different - I was closer to the water and the bustle of Market St. and the wanderers.
fellyconnelly - 12/19/08 13:25
somebody please tell me... is that poo in the plastic bags that swing from her cart? because thats what it looks like...
ajay - 12/19/08 12:57
I miss waking up to the sound of scraping shovels. :'(

The best way to start a weekend: listen to the shovels while lying in bed. Then get up and make some chai; toast some (whole-wheat) waffles and slather them with maple syrup and butter. Grab a comforter, sit on the couch with the chai and the waffles, and look out the window at the snow, while the radio plays WBFO....
drew - 12/19/08 12:21
Jean has been particularly bad lately, but when she hits bottom, she gets picked up and medicated.

She is a regular at our church, and only annoying sometimes. She is harmless.
joshua - 12/19/08 11:56
She is the wild, toothless, haggard lady that pushes around a cart and screams at the top of her lungs to nobody in particular. You can't miss her. The interesting thing is that the last time I used the laundromat on the corner of Elmwood and Auburn, I was approaching the door with my laundry and saw here there guarding the door (oh God). What did she do?

Jean: "Oh, well I see you have laundry there, let me open it for you." *walks and grabs the door handle, swinging the door open*

Me: *a little wierded out* "Thank you!"

Jean: "You're welcome!"

She was completely, 100% lucid. Then 20 minutes later she was eating a sandwich on the laundromat counter, right in front of the door, mumbling to herself. Nobody seemed to mind, but the sandwich had Italian dressing on it which made the entire room stink.
jason - 12/19/08 11:46
Sometimes Jean is just in an ornery mood I guess. Those sounds are really fun on a weekend morning.
theli - 12/19/08 11:41
Uhm...is that the uh..."crazy" lady I've heard about?

Think I *might* have seen her once.
matthew - 12/19/08 11:07
Oh jean! What elmwood be like without the sound of your yelling voice?!?
tinypliny - 12/19/08 11:04
What I want to know is who is this Jean?
fellyconnelly - 12/19/08 10:51
Isn't it funny that jean is one of the few sounds you hear? Or just plain sad?

12/18/2008 15:02 #47103

Caroline "Slummin' It Tour" 2008



Lol. The article doesn't do the recordings I've heard justice - the reporters were very, very agitated. A local TV reporter even called into Rush Limbaugh today to talk about it... which I heard while driving to the post office during my lunch break.

"It's a process so I just hope everybody understands this is not a campaign, but I have lived a life committed to public service, wrote a book on the constitution, the importance of independent participation, raised my family committed to education in New York City," Kennedy said.

Well, that's it! Sign her up! She wrote a book and raised kids, you know! You know when I'm mad when I capitalize every other word for emphasis -

No, Princess Caroline, it IS a campaign, which is something YOU need to understand. You have to inspire confidence in the millions of New Yorkers who think your life of privilege, and our state politicians' collective unending greed for campaign fundraising, may just get you a seat you have NO BUSINESS sitting in. I promise you and everyone else reading this that if Governor Paterson selects you, I'll fight tooth and nail to see you put out on your ass in a year. I'll even take the somewhat extreme step of registering as a Democrat and voting against you in the primary. I'll put up campaign signs for your opponents, Republican or Democrat. I'll convince everyone I know that having you in the US Senate is an insult to upstate, to the working class people of New York, to the people who have been IGNORED by people like yourself, with the obvious difference being that these people who earned their stripes who are also candidates weren't appointed but elected.

My grandmother, who voted for your father, will not vote for you. I'll beg my father to not vote for you. By the way, what kind of job are you going to do in a year when you have so little time to actually get elected? Do you simply want to get your foot in the back door, flip New York the bird and get an unearned incumbency? Why is it that you feel the need to shove yourself down New York's throat? Why are you under the mistaken impression, as many American coastal elites do, that New York needs you? The truth is we don't need you - you need the Senate seat to fulfill some kind of instinctual need for power flowing through the same DNA that Ed Koch thinks make you qualified. "Think of the DNA!" - Ed Koch, you Benedict Arnold and supposed man of the people. We need someone who is actually in touch with our problems and has earned their stripes, not some effete caviar eater like yourself, Caroline. Go to hell - you got what you deserved when you came here, and your attempt at a first impression validated numerous fears and presumptions millions of New Yorkers have of you.

Let me ask - now that she's been here, does anybody know the purpose of the visit, which I dubbed the "Slummin' It Tour?" At City Hall last night, you'd think an actual US Senator was visiting - they closed off the circle and adjacent sidestreets, then ultimately allowed nobody to park. It appears to me that she came here simply to be visible, wave her regal hand like the Queen of England, accept accolades, be presumptive, then get back in the waiting car and drive back to her private jet so she can go home and take a shower.

At least Hillary kissed us before she fucked us. If David Paterson selects Princess Caroline I'll never forgive him either, and he's a Demo that had a vote from me etched in stone.

UPDATE - Which may or may not enrage you. Upstate? Caroline gives us the finger. Harlem? Let's have a press op in front of a tourist trap soul food spot! (A word of advice - borrow Hill's True Blue Yankees Fan ball cap)
libertad - 12/26/08 22:44
I'm not a fan of her running either. Especially after reading this...

"She also was asked to explain why she failed to vote in a number of elections since registering in New York City in 1988, including in 1994 when Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan was up for re-election for the seat she hopes to take over.

"I was really surprised and dismayed by my voting record," she said. "I'm glad it's been brought to my attention."

I don't think she will be appointed because it would be very unpopular.
dcoffee - 12/19/08 15:27
there should be a special election, and the term should only be 2 years, because a lot of voters don't show up to a special election. But the appointments are undemocratic, I totally agree. And you're right about the incumbent advantage, that's the worst downfall of the appointment issue.
tinypliny - 12/18/08 18:03
Sounds like Manhattan's Sarah Palin. Encore.
james - 12/18/08 17:18
I was under the impression she was here to meet with electeds, political insiders, and anyone else with some influence on Gov. Patty, not the people of WNY. Which is great. She has no political experience but already she is acting like the entrenched hacks representing us.

In the last few days, I have seen a growing consensus that she stands a very good shot at being selected. Considering the state of our budget and the ever growing tax burden low and middle income people are being made to bear I might want someone with actual policy experience. Writing a book, working for schools, and raising a privileged family is great and all, but we need someone with real experience. Now is not the time to gamble with celebrity.
hodown - 12/18/08 17:12
I guarantee you she considers this step #1 to a bid for the White House.
mrmike - 12/18/08 15:19
I thought it unlikely to happen, but I agree with you wholeheartedly (hell must have frozen over). The one thing funnier than the reports was the Today show calling our mayor, "Bob Brown." She would have been much better off to be a little less regal, talk to reporters, converse with some people insteading of coming here to say she came here. Worst part of this process is that I think upstate is going to get screwed regardless. If not her, Andy Cuomo has been mentioned a lot and I think he believes Buffalo is a little north of Yonkers. Brown is just Tony Masiello in a better suit. I don't think Higgins can raise the green for the 2010 campaign.

We gonna wind up with somebody who has a Manhattan address already.