
Something (e:ajay) wrote as a comment in (e:paul)'s latest journal -

The days of Windows are numbered? I'm not an IT guy, but I can't help but think that Windows will never go away. It has a ridiculously large marketshare that, IMO anyway, will take longer than 10 years to whittle away. Business applications are one thing, but home use is another problem entirely.
I would love to instigate (in a good way) some chit chat about Windows vs. Linux.
Linux has a number of hurdles to clear before it will ever be used as a replacement for Windows. Firstly, the stigma that Linux is a "geeks only" type of OS that is difficult to use has to be cleared away. If it doesn't install software, run and is as easy to use as Windows is, Linux will never catch the attention of average computer users, and I question the ability of hardcore Linux advocates to be able to see the issue from the side of the people who are not at all technically savvy. Even the most user-friendly Linux distro is going to have components that even average Windows users, who feel that they know what they are doing around a PC, are going to cause confusion. No command lines, period, under any circumstances, for any reason. Any frustration experienced, any little thing that made life easier but doesn't work exactly the same as Windows did, etc. - these are factors that will eliminate the opportunity for Linux to gain market share.
Secondly, the graphics capabilities for Linux are extremely poor - if gamers cannot play the most popular PC games through a Linux platform that gamer will *always* have a Windows partition, even if they are the most enthusiastic Linux user. Thirdly - plug and play. I find it ironic that Linuxheads refer to Windows PnP as "plug and pray." Fourthly - comfort level - this cannot be understated. Abandoning Windows for Linux is a huge step for a lot of people, and Linux has to generate enough of an appeal to encourage Windows users to take the leap. All the free software in the world isn't going to mean anything to somebody who is experiencing trouble with Linux and has an XP install disk in the other hand.
IT people that know what they are doing should be running Linux anyway... its a more secure OS and for that reason alone businesses should consider using a flavor of Linux on servers. I actually quite like Linux - for everyday use, as far as I'm concerned, its a superior product to Windows... if you know what you are doing. Linux is not ready to be mass marketed to the general public quite yet. Sure, many Linux distros have made fantastic leaps in the past 5 or 6 years and many of the problems that I'm highlighting are being worked out, but since Linux is not perfect it will not eclipse Windows and its massive market share. Nothing short of an OS that operates exactly, precisely like Windows (gaming and ease of use/installation included) and adds the appeals of free software that is 110% compatible with Microsoft products will create a wave large enough to make a dent in home usage share. Server side - IT people know what they are doing and therefore do not have much of an excuse.
If I'm wrong, and in 10 years Microsoft is out of the OS business, I'll buy steak dinners (or if you are not a meat eater, whatever you like).
Apple - never have been a particularly big fan of Apple products outside of the iPod. For years they were generally inferior to IBM clones (theres an old term for you!) and Apple's only great and consistant calling card has been the appeal from artist types, who have always been loyal to Apple. I was impressed with their latest offerings though. I am 75/25 on making a MacBook my next computing purchase... such an amazing product! For home computing purposes, if I were getting into computers now rather than 20 years ago I would strongly consider an Apple product. Without a doubt they are the innovators at the moment and their products are the slickest.
scruffy is ok with me.
I think (e:jenks) said most of what I was going to say.
Apple took the best of Unix (BSD), added an easy-to-use shell on it and put out a pretty nice product. It is only a matter of time before HP and Dell put out Apple clones. I know Steve likes to have full control over his hardware, but come on: there's only so many Apples he can sell for the markup he likes. Eventually he will have to strike a deal with Dell/HP/Lenovo to come out with a 3rd-party version.
On the server side, Linux and FreeBSD are gaining marketshare, and Windows is nowhere to be found.
I think your analysis of Linux is fairly accurate (e:joshua).
In my view until people can buy computers that come with Linux pre-loaded the same way they can with Windows and OsX, Linux will continue to be a "geeky" operating system. If an OEM makes a box that is tested and configured for Linux, everything would work out of the box and people wouldn't need to touch the command line.
As to graphics and Linux, I think the problem is that the manufacturers of gaming graphics cards don't bother to make drivers for Linux in the same way that they do with Microsoft. But no matter the reason, without better graphic card support, Linux will never be a good gaming platform.
To me, the big problem with Apple is that there even less choice of hardware and hardware upgrades than there is with Linux. Perhaps with the Intel Macs that isn't true anymore, but I don't know. I know that with g3 iBook I am very limited with what I can upgrade.
In my experience, osX is stable as long as you stick with the software that comes with it. I've managed several times to panic the kernel (ha ha!!) doing (what I thought was) simple stuff and it was a bit hard to recover from that. That being said, osX apps from Apple play very well with each other. The GUI is more consistent than in any other OS I've seen other than maybe AmigaOS (if my memory serves)
OSX - I've heard nothing but fantastic things from my Mac using friends.
(e:iriesara) - when I was scruffy my ex-girlfriend used to rub her hands on my face so I think you must be right. It makes me look older as well - I am a 28 year old with an 18 year olds face :(
Girls like scruffy long-hairs. I may just be speaking for myself, but not entirely, I'm sure.
Ok I am unabashedly mac-biased, and I don't try to hide that... I'm reasonably tech-savvy and intelligent, and I can generally figure out how to do whatever I need to on windows, and am often able to fix little stuff for people at work etc when they can't figure it out. But I am still a 'home' user, I'd say, and not a 'power' user. [Point of that- I know how to use windows, but I avoid it when possible]. And I admit I don't really know the difference between Linux and Unix, and maybe that is the key here, but-
I thought the whole angle Apple took with OSX, or at least one of them, is that it's essentially Unix for dummies... All the security stability blah blah of Unix, with a pretty/easy GUI on top for the people who don't want to deal with a command line. But, still, a command line for people who know what that means.
Or am I totally missing the point?