The Golden State is truly golden in many ways, but it is a statistical reality that in our lifetimes we will see an earthquake similar to the scale of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake. How real is this reality? Take a look for yourself.
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Call me paranoid, but when I was in SF I was very conscious of the unstable earth beneath my feet. Californians seem to ignore the danger and rely greatly on their excellent warning systems, but there are inherent dangers to living in one of the most seismically active places on earth that are ignored at their certain peril. Living in California means that in many ways you have the best of things and the worst of things in America; Californians are quite accepting of that fact and live their lives without much concern for the inevitable. It is an interesting mindset and somewhat unique to this area of the country.
A book I've ranted and raved about, and suggest every single California resident read, is
A Crack In The Edge Of The World, by Simon Winchester. The book is a historical study of the San Andreas fault, how settlers approached living through natural disasters, how dramatically such a seismically active area can affect the landscape, and most beautifully he recreates the morning of the "big one" using historical accounts from survivors. Mr. Winchester is an Oxford-trained geologist and an author of many excellent books - his writing style is captivating and engrossing. Why do I bring up the book? Because he studies the historical nonchalance with which Californians choose to approach any risks to living where they do. This mindset, according to Mr. Winchester, originated with the risk-averse settlers that put everything on the line to migrate to the mine fields in the mid-19th century. Also, he mentions something very, very prescient to current events.
Yesterday, southern California was struck with a magnitude 5.4 earthquake, the epicenter of which was a few miles east of downtown Los Angeles. In Winchester's book he mentions in particular that seismologists have undertaken revealing studies about how very seismically active areas often suffer smaller earthquakes before a much larger one. Lo and behold, today an article discusses the subject.
One of the most alarming facts of this situation I have found was from a different article in the SF Chronicle, which was special report regarding the exodus of the middle class in their fair city.
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SF residents are becoming a dramatically richer demographic as a result of high property values. Many regular folks simply can't afford to live where they work, and the statistics are alarming. The article is a good read in any case, but in particular I found this a very, very scary situation -
High housing prices are also a key reason that among 2,227 sworn police officers in San Francisco, only 675 live in the city, a little more than 30 percent, said Gary Delagnes, president of the San Francisco Police Officers Association.
The nightmare consequence of this would be an evening earthquake that shuts down BART and bridges, blocking two-thirds of the city's police officers and large percentages of other first responders from quickly attending to life-threatening building collapses, injuries or fires.
In other words, it is certain that a vast percentage of law enforcement and first responders will not be able to access the city during the time of its most vital need when an earthquake strikes. If you live in SF, you better think carefully about that. It seems apparent that if another massive quake hits the Bay Area that San Francisco may very well suffer just as badly, if not worse, than the city did in 1906 despite all of the better construction techniques and warning systems. If many first responders cannot access the city, how will a massive fire like North Beach suffered in 1906 be stopped? How can an orderly evacuation be conducted, if at all? What about triage? I hope their first responder plan is water tight despite what seems to be an alarming weakness. Part of the warning system relies on seismologists monitoring murmurs that indicate an earthquake is coming, but there is no way to predict exactly when an earthquake will strike.
The good news for ol' Frisco is that the area truly due for a big one is southern California. Los Angeles suffered an earthquake in the early 1800's that, based on survivors' accounts, was at least as severe if not more severe than the one that struck in 1906. La La Land is overdue, but in truth the San Andreas Fault could rupture anywhere and the scientists say that enough pressure has built up along the fault line to expect another big one within 30 years.
I will admit that as much as I would like to visit China and was Jealous of (e:Imk2) when she went and also happy she went and lived some of her trip through her pictures, having the Olympics there was a mistake. I will admit I'm not sure who they where competing with. I have a few guesses as to why they where given the games. The positive side of me says that it was to show That the world (America) has faith in them (remember they have favored nation status) and that they are going to slowly change and this is the first step. The more realistic me says that it is all about Money. I don't know the entire money side but a China that people from all over the world travel to gives them more money oh yeah and the build new things and then more sports can go on there. A china who gets more money then will help you produce things cheeper they will buy more of your products. But now if China closes it self off to the world like it did a long time ago then with all those people that is a lot of lost profits. I think that unlike when we had the cold war with Russia this is one everyone knows China would win. I'll go out and say it they are the real supper power and you want them as a friend even if they are not a great friend you sure don't want them as any enemy. The thing about China is their Philosphy on life is exactly the opposite of the US. The US thinks that personal freedom (yes we are slowly losing this and giving this away to feel safe) is more important then the whole or that One Person is more important then the whole (well that is sort of true). China on the other hand is that the Society is more important then the Indivual. That is also why if you are guilty you have to prove you didn't do it and the prof is on you instead of here where it is the other way around.
On a little side note Back when John Carey was running his Campaign I took a trip to Cleveland and there where people there who Had a set up Showing how the Chinesse Prosectuted people who following this certain belief system, sorry I don't remember what it was called but some of the stuff looked really brutal.
My Hope is that Maybe the Olympics can bring about some changes in China, maybe not today but soon, but I wouldn't hold my breath waiting.