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Last Visit 2011-01-17 23:04:23 |Start Date 2004-11-03 18:51:40 |Comments 1,935 |Entries 529 |Images 250 |Videos 22 |Theme |

10/24/08 02:03 - 52ºF - ID#46304

Upcoming Trip (Maybe)

I'm trying to weasel my way back here -

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The pacific northwest came back around... and there is a lot to do. I definitely am going to talk my boss into letting me go.
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10/23/08 01:53 - 48ºF - ID#46276

The Dark Side of the Music Business

With emphasis on business. I promise this will be worth your time, more than anything I've posted. Many bands get into the game with absolutely no wherewithal regarding business acumen, and many times they make incredibly naive decisions. Here is one of the funniest illustrations of what I'm talking about, conducted by the leaders of the 60's band The Turtles. It really is a tragic story - these guys were railroaded very badly. It is amazing they can take the piss like they do - this had Jay and I LOLing last night. the one with the big hair teaches a music business course at Belmont University in Nashville these days.



I wouldn't leave you hanging - here's a song to cheer everybody up. I can't even explain to you in words what this song can do to snap me out of a bad mood. Buddhists have claimed that the Beach Boys' "Good Vibrations" is so perfect that it even has spiritual healing qualities. On a personal level, this song serves the same purpose for me. Music from the past allows me to escape from the chaos of today, if for just a little while. Damn I love this song!



Have a good day everyone -

Your friend Josh
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10/22/08 07:56 - 38ºF - ID#46259

Music Picture Game

No cheating. Who are the folks in this picture? These four could be classified as late 60's/early 70's musical royalty.

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No prize, except for a hearty well done - sorry!
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10/21/08 04:06 - 39ºF - ID#46235

F You, F you, F you - you're cool...

F you, I'm out!



One of the most spectacular resignations I've ever seen. This would definitely be me if I had a hedge fund that gutted the aggressive guys on Wall St. and made me 8 figures as a consequence of taking advantage of greed.
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10/13/08 12:40 - 62ºF - ID#46088

Liberals are mean-spirited people.

Generally speaking this is true. You may find this video of a McCain march through the UWS in Manhattan interesting -



We live in America in 2008 and yet we have grown men and women acting like the spoiled, ridiculous children that they are.

Now, I'm sure I'm going to read various comments from some of you suggesting that I'm cherry picking, but let's nip that at the bud right here and now. If I led a McCain march down Elmwood, or in SF, or in Boston, or in Chicago, or in Los Angeles, the scene would be identical to what you've just watched. Nowhere in America will you find Republicans shouting down liberals in the middle of the street. Let's forego the pretense of general decency on the side of the left - they threw it away when they spat on their brothers and sisters coming home from Vietnam. Now that sort of idiot is in Congress, and they STILL cannot accept responsibility for their own actions.

Now, I'll give liberals at least some credit - long ago they abandoned the notion that they are the tolerant ones. Nevertheless it is important for people to see these sorts of videos because it sheds light on the base of support for Barack Obama. If you support Barack Obama, you are lining yourselves up in alliance with people like this. There isn't a shred of decency to share between them. I would never vote for a liberal Democrat anyway, but allying myself with lunatics such as these? That pretty much seals the deal. Some people don't know enough to be embarrassed by it.

By watching this video you might think that we're watching an American version of the Catholics marching down Shankill Road. What is next - instead of this:

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are we going to see deifications of Obama in mural form along Columbus Avenue, with or without revolutionary regalia? (Think Che/Cuba flags, like the lady at the Obama office you've all seen).

Why do these liberals have no ability to get a grip whatsoever, and why is this style of persona so prevalent among liberals? I doubt they lack intelligence or patriotism (I've always hated that charge - it's unfair in 99.99% of cases) but based on this behavior they aren't doing themselves any favors. This is the style of "thinker" that wants Barack Obama in office? Scary. I think middle America would find this hard to swallow. And liberals refer to McCain rallies as "mob-like?" Haha! Riiiight. These people are openly hostile because it is who they are, straight to their cores. Don't bother justifying it - it is what it is. It is a sad and regrettable state of affairs indeed.
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10/10/08 09:09 - 45ºF - ID#46036

Chowdah

I spent a day in the Boston metro area yesterday -

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The leaves are just beginning to turn in New England. I saw deep ruby red, amber, orange, brown - it was very nice. As you might have guessed I had lunch at Legal Sea Foods in the airport after work. I enjoyed an outstanding fried clam roll, a cup of chowder and an iced tea. I think I might have been the only one drinking a non-alcoholic beverage! The lady to the right of me was enjoying a snifter of cognac, which I thought was a little odd for a 3pm beverage choice. The man to the left of me was enjoying raw oysters. I have it in me to give that sort of stuff a try, but growing up we never, ever ate anything remotely "risky" in the eyes of our grandmother. By risky, I mean seasoned, spicy, slimy, raw, shellfish or anything foreign. Or maybe by risky I mean fun. As a result I never learned how to properly eat shellfish, so at a restaurant I have a tad bit of a phobia regarding looking like an idiot by eating the food in the "wrong" way. I did take a step this summer though - during the Taste I stopped by the cajun stand with the crayfish. Twist, pull, suck. (Ok, I now regret phrasing it that way).

New England is an interesting place, full of honest, hard-working people. These are people with firm handshakes that will look you in the eye. They also seem to have a regional sense of humor that some people may not understand - in fact, if you aren't paying attention you might think you just got insulted or otherwise screwed with. Personally I enjoy people like that, but the key to it all is the deadpan. New England is full of stone-faced comedians.

I think I finally realized my dream housing setup. A small cottage with a little boathouse and a dock off the Atlantic coast for the summer, and a beach house on the Pacific coast for the winter. I really liked the coastal, pseudo-seafaring vibe I picked up as I looked down along the shoreline. That might be one of the most relaxing places in America!
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10/08/08 12:36 - 57ºF - ID#45994

Outrage We Can All Believe In

Maybe you've heard of this, maybe you haven't:

AIG, after receiving their bailout, sent their executives on a $400,000 vacation at a posh resort in California. Here's the invoice -



Although a lot of trash is peddled on The Smoking Gun, you've still gotta love it.

This is a redefinition of the word "hubris." The American people hate corporate America today, and who could blame them?
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10/07/08 02:56 - 60ºF - ID#45980

News of the Weird and Sickening

Former Mr. Gay UK 'slit boyfriend's throat then marinated his diced flesh with fresh herbs' -

His defense was that the other guy was trying to rape him. I wonder i forensic evidence will bear that out... not that I ever plan on following this story.
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10/03/08 10:51 - 48ºF - ID#45916

Spot in the Morning

10am on a Friday, and there was a line to the door. Get some jobs people - my God! What are these lazy bourgeois doing? Paying taxes is "patriotic" so get cracking - we're in a mess, you know!
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10/01/08 11:23 - 55ºF - ID#45877

Alternate Bailout Proposals

There have been some ideas floating around the past few days, but the one I've been particularly interested in is the use of this vast pool of funds to purchase preferred stock in the troubled firms, rather than purchasing the illiquid debt. Having the government buy the distressed debt is foolhardy, for a few reasons. Firstly, nobody really knows what the debt is worth. Secondly, despite what your politicians were telling you, the federal government has nowhere near the capability to administrate the management of such a large problem effectively, and considering the downside it would be absolutely crazy to do so. Thirdly, and perhaps you agree with me, it is insane to pool $700b into a fund and hand it over to the same people who created this mess to begin with. There has to be another way to increase liquidity in our markets and I think a few people have found the answer.

George Soros has present a plan to the Dems, which isn't actually new, but hopefully with his cajoling the politicians can be convinced to take a more rational path. Now, the article makes a point of highlighting potential problems because, well, Soros is Soros and a lot of people in America hate his intrusion into our politics. Nevertheless, nobody should question his financial acumen and when the guy speaks, people should listen. I can't imagine liberal Democrats agreeing to lowering the corporate tax rate and I can't imagine Republicans agreeing to forcing the Treasury to back mortgages that have been renegotiated, but we'll see.

I think buying the preferred stock is the way forward because it will inject capital immediately into the credit market without the need to buy the bad debt. Buying the bad debt is an unacceptable risk to the American people. The truth of the matter is that these firms could have already sold this bad debt, but why take 10 cents on the dollar when the government may offer you 30? With this method taxpayers will actually have assets - something tangible to hold onto, rather than debt that is impossible to value. With preferred stock comes enhanced voting rights as well. The government, on behalf of the American people, will ensure that the fox is not guarding the hen house and will limit executive compensation. If some banks don't want to play ball and fail, so be it. This is America - we have smaller banks lined up to take advantage of the big boys and their hubris, and would cut off an arm for the opportunity to do so. Generally speaking, smaller banks are more efficiently managed anyway.

I would advocate for lowering the corporate tax rate to encourage skittish foreign investors to stick around, or even bring aboard new investment. The reality of America is that if this gets any worse, more foreign investment will be pulled and we will suffer a long lasting depression, not a recession. We need to encourage businesses and let them know that we want them to stay here and make money. My first instinct when I read this was to wrinkle my nose at the thought of suggesting "corporate welfare" in the midst of this problem. However, we have the second highest corporate tax rate in the world. We could get away with it previously because doing business in America was a premium opportunity that businesses would fight each other for. That is no longer the case, at least for now. The days of getting away with having the second highest corporate tax rate in the world are over if we want to maintain a robust economy through this mess. Foreigners have absolutely no confidence in our ability to move forward, so they are refusing to participate. We have to fix that.

As for the little guy - I'm the last guy in the world to suggest a socialist tenet as a solution to a problem, but there is no acceptable free market solution to the mortgage mess from the Main St. perspective. Economists say that the free market will work out the mess, but they openly admit that some people may fall through the cracks. I'm unsure about how acceptable that is - some people should have never taken the loans out to begin with while others are legitimately getting screwed through no fault of their own. I'm also unsure about the ability of the Treasury to unravel the mortgage mess in the way Soros describes. Where would the money come from anyway? We have $700b we're going to "invest" with, and if Obama gets elected we will have $1 trillion in new spending, not to mention $53 trillion in unfunded liabilities with SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc. that NOBODY wants to reckon with. How does a CBO estimate of 25% base federal tax rate at the turn of the century for the poorest Americans sound? How does a CBO estimate of 88% corporate tax rate sound? With that kind of scenario we may see the end of America as we know it in this very century and nobody wants to talk about it! Are we going to produce yet another $1 trillion to back mortgages, some of which should have never been written? If you make $40,000 per year, you obviously should not be in a $400,000 house, so I envision that the end game will involve people losing their homes regardless of the scenario.

No amount of financial deftness will make unaffordable housing affordable. That is, unless home prices in distressed areas drop 40% like some suggest they will do. In that case, the judges can rewrite the mortgages based on a more reasonable base asset value and mitigate any potential fallout. In any case, I don't believe Americans will bail out Wall St. without a solution for homeowners tacked onto the plan, and I'm fairly sure Democrats will insist on some sort of measure. In my view, it is necessary just like being forced to deal with all of this garbage is necessary. People that legitimately need help and are getting the shaft deserve the government's attention; more so than the baron robbers who are the first in line, begging for mercy. To what degree the government is going to intervene remains to be seen, but I'm in full support of an intervention in the housing market as long as it is done intelligently.

Financial scaremongering is the activity du jour on Capitol Hill. Let's not be naive - we have a serious problem that could potentially collapse our economic system, so we have to be big boys and girls about this and take one on the chin to save the house of cards from falling. However, we're smarter than this. We know better than to rush a bad plan through simply because President Bush, Secretary Paulson and congressional leadership are feeling pressure to fix the problem immediately. Are we even sure how immediate the problem is? Do we really have to push a bill through in 48 hours when maybe a week of serious, well thought out discussions would serve us better?

In this midst of this panic they are playing the blame game, and to be honest if I were King of America I'd fire every single one of them, eliminate the concept of seniority, make it illegal to serve more than two consecutive terms and ask the American people to start over with their government by voting in an entirely new Congress. Those politicians who encouraged reckless borrowing (aka forcing lenders under the threat of criminal action to provide affordable loans to low income people, based on 'stated income'), prevented regulation of Fanny and Freddie (Demos), prevented regulation of the financial markets (Repubs) should no longer have viable political careers. Our Congress has well-earned their 9-10% approval rating - we have the worst Congress to have ever been assembled.

Anyway, you know how I feel about politicians.
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